AI-generated image description: Table showing payroll job growth scenarios from May-November and corresponding Obama re-election projected popular vote margin and probability of winning, with +125,000 row highlighted.

AI-extracted visible text:
Payroll Job Growth and Obama Re-Election Projection
Based on true incumbents only

Average Payrolls Job Growth, May-November | Projected Popular Vote Margin of Victory or Defeat | Projected Probability of Winning Popular Vote
-50,000 | -7.7 | 1%
-25,000 | -6.6 | 3%
0 | -5.5 | 6%
+25,000 | -4.4 | 11%
+50,000 | -3.3 | 17%
+75,000 | -2.3 | 26%
+100,000 | -1.2 | 37%
+125,000 | -0.1 | 49%
+150,000 | +1.0 | 61%
+175,000 | +2.1 | 72%
+200,000 | +3.2 | 82%
+225,000 | +4.3 | 89%
+250,000 | +5.4 | 93%
+27

Originally embedded in "Has Obama’s Magic Jobs Number Changed?", an article by Nate Silver: http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/has-obamas-magic-jobs-number-changed/

Original source URL: https://fivethirtyeight.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/05/fivethirtyeight-0504-magicjobs2-blog48011.png

AI disclosure: Image descriptions and visible-text extraction were generated using Sonnet 4.6 by Anthropic.

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